Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000027 0.000030 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000045
2026-01-25 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054 0.000062
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066
2026-02-08 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069
2026-02-15 0.000020 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074
2026-02-22 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000077
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000078
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000080
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000081
2026-03-29 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000058 0.000083
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000059 0.000086
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000043 0.000063 0.000094
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000053 0.000078 0.000122
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000034 0.000051 0.000077 0.000123
2026-05-03 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000077 0.000125
2026-05-10 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000130
2026-05-17 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000133
2026-05-24 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000077 0.000132
2026-05-31 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000132
2026-06-07 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000045 0.000075 0.000134
2026-06-14 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000074 0.000134
2026-06-21 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000026 0.000043 0.000074 0.000137